Tuesday, November 4, 2014

Final Call on Senate Midterms

Here is the final call. Expect surprises! Turnout looks very good! So good we carry Kentucky? Well, that's my dream, but a dream it will likely remain. So here is where I am:

Democrats carry:
NC +4
NH +3
KS +2
AK +5
IA + 1

Republican carry:
AR +6
KY +5
CO +1

Run-offs:
GA- a dead heat, even +/-1
LA- Landrieu by 5 in primary

I have highest confidence in NC, NH and the two races going to run-off. I have low confidence in IA and CO, and those could be backwards, they will be close. The key is for Dems to hold one of those critical two. I still have a hunch that KY will be closer than expected and that Grimes voters are fired up, and McConnell's cant be paid to vote last I checked. It will be an interesting night, and with any luck a stunner!