Here is the final call. Expect surprises! Turnout looks very good! So good we carry Kentucky? Well, that's my dream, but a dream it will likely remain. So here is where I am:
Democrats carry:
NC +4
NH +3
KS +2
AK +5
IA + 1
Republican carry:
AR +6
KY +5
CO +1
Run-offs:
GA- a dead heat, even +/-1
LA- Landrieu by 5 in primary
I have highest confidence in NC, NH and the two races going to run-off. I have low confidence in IA and CO, and those could be backwards, they will be close. The key is for Dems to hold one of those critical two. I still have a hunch that KY will be closer than expected and that Grimes voters are fired up, and McConnell's cant be paid to vote last I checked. It will be an interesting night, and with any luck a stunner!
Tuesday, November 4, 2014
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